Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - Match Preview & Prediction

1.3
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexico - Mexico Ascenso MX
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Tuesday - Apr 22nd, 23:00 PM

1.9
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Predictions & Tips
56% Over 2.5 Goals
82% Over 1.5 Goals
68% BTTS
2.76 Goals / Match
5.8 Cards / Match
10.36 Corners / Match

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Tepatitlán de Morelos Information
Coming into this game, Tepatitlán de Morelos has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Tepatitlán de Morelos has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Tepatitlán de Morelos at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 15 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Tepatitlán de Morelos from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 14 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Tepatitlán de Morelos has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
We might see some goals in this one, with the last 4 games involving Tepatitlán de Morelos has ended with 3 or more goals being scored. Will Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara get in on the action today? There has been a total of 16 goals in the last 5 games for Tepatitlán de Morelos, both home and away.
In the last 5 matches for Tepatitlán de Morelos, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (67% of all matches) involving Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Tepatitlán de Morelos will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara Information
Coming into this game, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Tepatitlán de Morelos stop this run?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 8 games for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
The last 5 games for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has seen a total of 22/32 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That's 69% of all matches played.
It's likely that Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Who Will Win

The home team is 20 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 11

64% Over 1.5 Goals
7/11 Matches
45% Over 2.5 Goals
5/11 Matches
18% Over 3.5 Goals
2/11 Matches
55% BTTS
6/11 Matches
18% Clean Sheets
Tepatitlán de Morelos
36% Clean Sheets
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 27% worse than away team in terms of goals scored


Scored Per Game | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over 1.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
Failed To Score | 20% | 0% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
Scored in 1H | 47% | 47% |
Scored in 2H | 53% | 80% |
Scored in Both Halves | 20% | 50% |
Scored Average 1H | 0.70 | 0.70 |
Scored Average 2H | 0.80 | 1.20 |
Recent Form

Tepatitlan de Morelos
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | l w l d l l w l w w | 1.3 |
Home | w d w w | 2.5 |
Away | l l l l l w | 0.5 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
AVG | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Scored | 15.00 | 10.00 | 5.00 |
Conceded | 12.00 | 2.00 | 10.00 |
BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
CS | 20% | 50% | 0% |
FTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
xG | 1.36 | 1.59 | 1.19 |
xGA | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.27 |

Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | w w d l w w l l w w | 1.9 |
Home | w w w l w | 2.4 |
Away | w d l l w | 1.4 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
AVG | 3.40 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Scored | 19.00 | 10.00 | 9.00 |
Conceded | 15.00 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
CS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
FTS | 0% | 0% | 0% |
xG | 1.43 | 1.61 | 1.31 |
xGA | 1.57 | 1.66 | 1.52 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 25% better than away team in terms of goals conceded


Scored Per Game | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over 1.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Cleansheets | 20% | 10% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
1H Clean Sheet | 70% | 60% |
2H Clean Sheet | 40% | 40% |
Conceded Average 1H | 0.40 | 0.50 |
Conceded Average 2H | 0.80 | 1.00 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

50%
Scored first in 5 / 10

50%
Scored first in 5 / 10
10 Minutes | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
11 - 20 Mins | 7% | 6% |
21 - 30 Mins | 7% | 3% |
31 - 40 Mins | 19% | 15% |
41 - 50 Mins | 7% | 18% |
51 - 60 Mins | 11% | 6% |
61 - 70 Mins | 19% | 26% |
71 - 80 Mins | 11% | 6% |
81 - 90 Mins | 19% | 21% |
15 Minutes | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 6% |
16 - 30 Mins | 15% | 3% |
31 - 45 Mins | 26% | 26% |
46 - 60 Mins | 11% | 12% |
61 - 75 Mins | 22% | 26% |
76 - 90 Mins | 26% | 26% |
Scored (10 min) | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
11 - 20 Mins | 7% | 5% |
21 - 30 Mins | 7% | 5% |
31 - 40 Mins | 20% | 11% |
41 - 50 Mins | 13% | 21% |
51 - 60 Mins | 13% | 0% |
61 - 70 Mins | 20% | 26% |
71 - 80 Mins | 7% | 11% |
81 - 90 Mins | 13% | 21% |
Scored (15 min) | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 5% |
16 - 30 Mins | 13% | 5% |
31 - 45 Mins | 33% | 26% |
46 - 60 Mins | 13% | 5% |
61 - 75 Mins | 27% | 26% |
76 - 90 Mins | 13% | 32% |
Conceded (10 min) | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
11 - 20 Mins | 8% | 7% |
21 - 30 Mins | 8% | 0% |
31 - 40 Mins | 17% | 20% |
41 - 50 Mins | 0% | 13% |
51 - 60 Mins | 8% | 13% |
61 - 70 Mins | 17% | 27% |
71 - 80 Mins | 17% | 0% |
81 - 90 Mins | 25% | 20% |
Conceded (15 min) | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 7% |
16 - 30 Mins | 17% | 0% |
31 - 45 Mins | 17% | 27% |
46 - 60 Mins | 8% | 20% |
61 - 75 Mins | 17% | 27% |
76 - 90 Mins | 42% | 20% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

6.1
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
3 / Match
Booked / Match

3.1 / Match
Booked / Match

Match Cards | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
Over 3.5 | 80% | 90% | 85% |
Over 4.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Over 5.5 | 60% | 70% | 65% |
Over 6.5 | 40% | 70% | 55% |
Team Cards | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Cards For Average | 3 | 3.1 | 3.05 |
Over 0.5 For | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Over 1.5 For | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Over 2.5 For | 70% | 70% | 70% |
Over 3.5 For | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Cards Against | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 0.5 Against | 100% | 90% | 95% |
Over 1.5 Against | 90% | 90% | 90% |
Over 2.5 Against | 40% | 80% | 60% |
Over 3.5 Against | 20% | 60% | 40% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
Half Cards | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Cards For Average | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
2H Cards For Average | 1 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
1H Total Cards AVG | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.85 |
2H Total Cards AVG | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.95 |
1H Had More Cards % | 60% | 30% | 45% |
2H Had More Cards % | 40% | 70% | 65% |
Over X 1H/2H Cards | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 80% | 80% | 80% |
2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 60% | 100% | 80% |
1H Total Under 2 | 30% | 30% | 30% |
2H Total Under 2 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 30% | 40% | 35% |
2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 70% | 40% | 55% |
1H Total Over 3 | 40% | 30% | 35% |
2H Total Over 3 | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

9
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
5 / Match
Corners Earned

4 / Match
Corners Earned

Match Corners | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 6.5 | 88% | 88% | 88% |
Over 7.5 | 75% | 63% | 69% |
Over 8.5 | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Over 9.5 | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Over 10.5 | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Over 11.5 | 38% | 13% | 25.5% |
Over 12.5 | 38% | 13% | 25.5% |
Over 13.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Over 14.5 | 13% | 0% | 6.5% |
First Half | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
FH Average | 32 | 30 | 31 |
FH Over 4 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 |
FH Over 5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 |
FH Over 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Second Half | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
2H Average | 46 | 42 | 44 |
2H Over 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
2H Over 5 | 3 | 4 | 3.5 |
2H Over 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
Team Corners | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Corners Earned / Match | 5 | 4 | 4.50 |
Corners Against / Match | 4.75 | 5 | 4.88 |
Over 2.5 For | 75% | 63% | 69% |
Over 3.5 For | 50% | 63% | 56.5% |
Over 4.5 For | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 Against | 88% | 88% | 88% |
Over 3.5 Against | 63% | 75% | 69% |
Over 4.5 Against | 50% | 63% | 56.5% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
Team Shots | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Shots / Match | 9.5 | 10.25 | 9.88 |
Shots Conversion Rate | 12% | 16% | 14.00% |
Shots On Target / M | 3.38 | 5 | 4.19 |
Shots Off Target / M | 6.13 | 5.25 | 5.69 |
Shots Per Goal Scored | 8.44 | 6.31 | 7.38 |
Team Shots Over 10.5 | 38% | 50% | 44% |
Team Shots Over 11.5 | 25% | 38% | 31.5% |
Team Shots Over 12.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Team Shots Over 13.5 | 25% | 13% | 19% |
Team Shots Over 14.5 | 25% | 13% | 19% |
Team Shots Over 15.5 | 25% | 13% | 19% |
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 38% | 75% | 56.5% |
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 25% | 63% | 44% |
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 25% | 38% | 31.5% |
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 13% | 25% | 19% |
Offside Stats | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Offsides / Match | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Over 2.5 Offsides | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Over 3.5 Offsides | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Misc Stats | Tepatitlán de Morelos | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Fouls Committed / Match | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Fouled Against / Match | 0 | 0 | 0.01 |
Average Possession | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Past Matches
1st March 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1
16th September 2024
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1Tepatitlán de Morelos 0
11th April 2024
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
13th August 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0
28th April 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1
19th February 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1
11th July 2022
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 3Tepatitlán de Morelos 0
9th March 2022
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2Tepatitlán de Morelos 1
18th November 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1
15th March 2021
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 0Tepatitlán de Morelos 1
17th November 2020
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 2
Mexico Ascenso MX 2024/2025 Table
Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | 63 | 40 | 23 | 63 | 3.22 |
2 | Club Atlante | 62 | 29 | 33 | 61 | 2.84 |
3 | Celaya CF | 62 | 37 | 25 | 58 | 2.91 |
4 | CD Tapatío | 61 | 41 | 20 | 58 | 3 |
5 | Club Deportivo Mineros de Zacatecas | 39 | 27 | 12 | 47 | 2.2 |
6 | Venados FC Yucatán | 52 | 40 | 12 | 44 | 3.07 |
7 | Club Deportivo y Social Tampico Madero | 29 | 29 | 0 | 42 | 2.07 |
8 | Tepatitlán de Morelos | 46 | 35 | 11 | 39 | 2.7 |
9 | CA Monarcas Morelia | 32 | 43 | -11 | 36 | 2.68 |
10 | Cancún FC | 33 | 37 | -4 | 34 | 2.59 |
11 | CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa | 42 | 52 | -10 | 33 | 3.13 |
12 | Correcaminos UAT | 38 | 60 | -22 | 27 | 3.5 |
13 | Tlaxcala FC | 35 | 50 | -15 | 27 | 3.04 |
14 | Club Atlético La Paz | 32 | 65 | -33 | 22 | 3.59 |
15 | Club de Fútbol Zacatepec Siglo XXI | 24 | 65 | -41 | 14 | 3.18 |